This increases the chances that Monday will gap above the 2500 resistance, creating a gap up on the weekly chart as well. The weekly Emini chart this week closed on its high at a new high, just below the 2500 Big Round Number. This is extreme behavior and therefore unsustainable and climactic. However, it has not touched the 20-week exponential moving average in 44 weeks. Furthermore, it might gap above the 2500 Big Round Number next week. The weekly S&P500 Emini futures candlestick chart is in a tight bull channel. Weekly S&P500 Emini futures candlestick chart: As a result, the downside risk over the next few months is small. Hence, the reversal will be a pullback instead of a bear trend. While that 200 point reversal would be a bear trend on the daily chart, it would be a bull flag on the monthly chart. Furthermore, when a bull trend is this strong, the bulls will be eager to buy below the low of the prior month.Ĭonsequently, the best the bears can probably get is a 1 – 3-month pullback, maybe to the March low where the channel began. Yet, a micro channel (every bar has a low that is above the low of the prior bar) is unsustainable. The monthly S&P500 Emini futures candlestick chart is in a strong bull trend. The channel began with the bear doji in March, which was the 1st pause after the breakout. The 4-month breakout through February is a spike in a spike and channel bull trend. Monthly S&P500 Emini futures candlestick chart:Įvery bar for the past 10 months on the monthly S&P500 Emini futures candlestick chart has a low above the low of the prior bar. Get Trading Insights, MoneyShow’s free trading newsletter » Then, traders get ready for a new breakout up or down, which would start the market cycle over again, asserts Al Brooks. Eventually the bull channel transitions into a trading range.
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